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ESS Prof Discusses Recent New York Wildfires and the New Normal of Extreme Weather Conditions
Associate Professor of Environmental Studies and Science Matthew Aiello-Lammens, PhD, was quoted in a , and specifically, the recent wildfires in New York State, and whether these are expected to be annual occurrences or represent a rare coming together of atmospheric conditions.
Aiello-Lammens said, 鈥淭he new normal isn鈥檛 necessarily droughts or floods. The new normal is really the unpredictability of extreme events. It鈥檚 hard to know whether you鈥檙e going to get a drought year versus a flood year. But with the way climate is changing, the thing that we are confident about is that the extremes are becoming more frequent. What we鈥檙e not confident about necessarily yet is how to predict these extremes.鈥
The article also addressed whether conditions in New York forests are similar to or different than those out West, an area of the country that is quite familiar with wildfires, with Aiello-Lammens adding that they don鈥檛 different dramatically.
鈥淭hey鈥檙e all fire prone ecosystems,鈥 he said. 鈥淗ere, there are plenty of accelerants鈥搒crub oak and pitch pine鈥搕hat can spread fire quickly and they鈥檙e surrounded by dense forest of hardwood trees. It just happens to be that we see a fair amount of precipitation in the Northeast. So, when you have these periods of dry spells, you鈥檙e bound to get these fires. Warm, dry conditions are good for drying out the leaf material that鈥檚 dry and dead. And they鈥檙e good for moving fire once it gets going."
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