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ESS Professor Explains the Environmental Impacts of NY鈥檚 Drought on Fox Weather

By
Antonia Gentile
Posted
November 15, 2024

On what we can expect going forward, he said, 鈥淲e鈥檙e not really anticipating a lot of rain, so we鈥檙e still going to be dealing with these drought conditions probably at least for the near future. As you pointed out, it鈥檚 a historic drought right now. October was the driest month that we have on record I think since we鈥檝e been taking records since the late 1800s. New York has declared a drought watch and New Jersey a drought warning. So, I think we should anticipate that these conditions will be hanging on for a little bit longer.鈥

When asked about the potential of future weather changes reversing the effects of the drought, he replied:

鈥淓ven if we have some rain, we are probably seven to ten inches behind where we should be at this point, so even just a little bit of rain in the coming future is probably not going to be enough to pull us out of this. Some of our reservoirs are at 50% capacity; our ground water levels are really low and they are continuing to drop. I don鈥檛 think it鈥檚 going be something like we are going to have a [rain] event and then be out of this drought. We should be anticipating, even with some wet weather events, that we will continue to be in this drought.鈥

He also spoke on the relation of climate change to this event.

鈥淚鈥檇 have to be remiss if I didn鈥檛 make this connection to climate change. With higher temperatures along with increasingly extreme weather events like this drought, we should expect that, while in the past, they were much more rare, we should expect now that they are going to be much more frequent, happening much more regularly, in a way creating a new normal for us. So, even while we can look at the historic record, to try to make some judgment on what we can expect coming, there鈥檚 a lot of uncertainty because of the impacts of climate change.鈥

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